Geopolitical Conflict
US deports relative of Afghans who aided military to Africa
US deports an Afghan man to Central African Republic despite his family's ties to the US military.
Al JazeeraUnited States · Afghanistan · Central African Republic
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Nicaragua.
Republic of Nicaragua · Managua · 6.7M people · central-america-n-caribbean
Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 99.5%, Indigenous 0.3%, Portuguese 0.1%Area130.4K km²Sanctioned entities131Active conflicts3CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
91.7
Stable risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Nicaragua becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Nicaragua · 90-day event volume
18
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 3
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 315
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
81/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.58%inflation pct: 4.62%unemployment pct: 4.98%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
74/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 131is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
78/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.1literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political22Stable
Security0Stable
Economic32Moderate
Regulatory26Moderate
Operational15Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 14 of 33
0153.4
0254.4
0363.6
0477.4
0584.6
0685.3
0786.3
0888.9
1491.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$19.7B
▲ $1.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$2.8K
▲ $238 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.6%
▼ 3.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20245.0%
▲ 0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 20246.9M
▲ 92.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.55%
▼ 0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202475.1 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202461.4%
▲ 1.1% YoY
Security3 recent events · 3 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
18
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-11
Nicaragua Democracy Support
Diplomatic Tension
2026-07-19
International Concern Over Ortega
Diplomatic Tension
2026-07-19
UN Condemns Nicaragua
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Nicaragua
Iran war
War · 382794 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-Nicaragua conflict
Proxy · 16987 dispatches
Critical · 92.4
Nicaraguan Revolution
Civil War · 4 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict
Trump administration deports relative of Afghans who helped US military to Central African Republic
The Independent
Other
Nati Jota se paralizó por lo que le dijeron mientras besaba a un chico en una fiesta: «Ahí arrancó la tragedia»
El Intransigente
Geopolitical Conflict
Ilán Semo / I: El cártel de los presidentes
La Jornada
Geopolitical Conflict
Jefe del Comando Sur de Estados Unidos llegó a Colombia para afinar estrategia conjunta contra el crimen
Noticias de Colombia | El Colombiano
Llega a los cines, remasterizado y con tomas inéditas, concierto de Juan Gabriel en Bellas Artes
La Jornada
Japón elimina a México de la Serie Mundial de Pequeñas Ligas
La Jornada
El Salvador, Panama sound alarm on El Nino-fueled drought
The Hindu
Father of Navy sailor aboard USS Lincoln released from immigration custody
Gulf News
Father of USS Lincoln sailor released from ICE custody after arrest while son was deployed to Iran war
The Independent
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Nicaragua-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Nicaragua will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.