GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesNicaragua (NI)

Nicaragua.

Republic of Nicaragua · Managua · 6.7M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 99.5%, Indigenous 0.3%, Portuguese 0.1%Area130.4K km²Sanctioned entities121Active conflicts2CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
91.8
Stable risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Nicaragua becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Nicaragua · 90-day event volume
13
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
4 of 12
NICARAGUA REGITRADE DEALUS SANCTIONSNICARAGUA REIN2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 112
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
81/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.59%inflation pct: 4.62%unemployment pct: 4.98%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
76/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 121is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
78/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.1literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
22Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
32Moderate
Regulatory
24Stable
Operational
15Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 16 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
43.2
02Republic of Haiti
54.6
03Republic of Panama
67.0
04Barbados
72.2
05Republic of Honduras
77.8
06Republic of Guatemala
83.8
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Country of Sint Maarten
86.7
16Republic of Nicaragua· this country
91.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$19.7B
$1.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$2.8K
$238 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.6%
3.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.0%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.9M
92.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.55%
0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
75.1 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
61.4%
1.1% YoY
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
13
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-06
SEV 3
Nicaragua Reinstates Visa
Diplomatic Tension
2026-04-22
SEV 6
US sanctions Nicaraguan companies
Sanctions Imposed
2026-04-21
SEV 2
Nicaragua President Criticizes Trump
Political Crisis
2026-04-14
SEV 6
Ortega Regime Faces Uncertainty
Political Crisis
2026-04-07
SEV 2
Public Diplomacy Grants Program
Summit Meeting
2026-04-05
SEV 6
Nicaragua Approves Special Economic Zone
Trade Deal
2026-04-05
SEV 6
Nicaragua and China Establish Diplomatic Relations
Trade Deal
2026-04-05
SEV 5
Nicaragua's Exports to China Increase
Trade War Escalation
Active conflicts involving Nicaragua
US-Nicaragua conflict
· 16982 dispatches
Critical · 100
Nicaraguan Revolution
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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Other
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Libertad de prensa
Perfil
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Washington Times
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World Socialist Web Site
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CBC | Top Stories News
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Nicaragua-tagged articles · last 30 days
Rory McIlroy
personlast · May 13
415
Daniel Ortega
personlast · May 8
28
Rosario Murillo
personlast · May 3
12
Alfonso Cortés
personlast · May 11
4
Minister for Foreign Affairs of Nicaragua
personlast · May 4
3
Maurice Ortega
personlast · May 3
3
Daniel Edmundo Ortega
personlast · May 3
3
Laureano Ortega Murillo
personlast · Apr 14
3
Nicaraguan migrants
personlast · May 9
2
Violeta Chamorro
personlast · May 8
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Nicaragua will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.