GeoMemo
MON, JUN 29 · EDT
CountriesNicaragua (NI)

Nicaragua.

Republic of Nicaragua · Managua · 6.7M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 99.5%, Indigenous 0.3%, Portuguese 0.1%Area130.4K km²Sanctioned entities131Active conflicts2CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
91.7
Stable risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Nicaragua becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Nicaragua · 90-day event volume
16
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 5
WAR CRIMEEARTHQUAKE2026-04-012026-05-162026-06-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
JUN 25
2026
Nicaragua Earthquake
earthquake · severity 9
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 250
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
81/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.59%inflation pct: 4.62%unemployment pct: 4.98%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
74/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 131is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
78/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.1literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
22Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
32Moderate
Regulatory
26Moderate
Operational
15Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 16 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
47.0
02Republic of Haiti
58.0
03Republic of Panama
69.5
04Republic of Honduras
74.1
05Republic of Guatemala
76.1
06Barbados
78.2
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Republic of El Salvador
85.0
16Republic of Nicaragua· this country
91.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$19.7B
$1.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$2.8K
$238 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.6%
3.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.0%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.9M
92.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.55%
0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
75.1 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
61.4%
1.1% YoY
Security5 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
16
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
1
High-severity events
2026-06-25
SEV 9
Nicaragua Earthquake
Earthquake5,000 killed
2026-06-18
SEV 6
US sanctions on Nicaragua
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-17
SEV 5
Nicaraguan Family Seeks Asylum
Refugee Flow
2026-06-01
SEV 8
Nicaraguan Leader Dies
War Crime1 killed
2026-05-31
SEV 8
Death of Indigenous
Humanitarian Aid
Active conflicts involving Nicaragua
US-Nicaragua conflict
Proxy · 16985 dispatches
Critical · 96.3
Nicaraguan Revolution
Civil War · 3 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

TPS en EE.UU.: los 17 países bajo protección que quedarían más expuestos tras el fallo de la Corte Suprema hoy

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the Department of Homeland Security retains sole authority to terminate Temporary Protected Status designations, potentially exposing 17 nations' beneficiaries to deportation, directly impacting hundreds of thousands of Haitian and Syrian migrants.

La NacionUnited States · Haiti · Syria
International Relations
Laureano Ortega visits China - Friends of Socialist China
Friends of Socialist China
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Este año en México, casi 12 mil desaparecidos; localizan a 59%
La Jornada
Other
'The View' co-host Joy Behar says Americans 'should all be' embarrassed by U.S.
Washington Times
International Relations
Russia’s Growing Influence in Nicaragua Extends Far Beyond Humanitarian Aid - La Prensa - Noticias de Nicaragua y el mundo
Noticias de Nicaragua y el mundo
Trump administration asks US Supreme Court to endorse immigration detention policy
GMA News Online / News
San Martín ya se aseguró un "9" y está muy cerca de cerrar otro: quién es el apuntado para reforzar el ataque
La Gaceta On Line
Brother of Trump aide Natalie Harp blasts her ‘very unhealthy’ relationship with president after report of adoring notes
The Independent
Mexican ambassador in Tehran honored for hosting Iran national football team
Tehran Times
U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling to end protections for Haitian, Syrian immigrants could have broader impact
The Hindu
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Nicaragua-tagged articles · last 30 days
Daniel Ortega
personlast · Jun 17
48
Rosario Murillo
personlast · Jun 10
22
Brooklyn Rivera
personlast · Jun 9
8
Tatiana Guzmán
personlast · Jun 25
5
Gioconda Belli
personlast · Jun 25
2
Rivera
personlast · Jun 8
2
Ramón Alberto Moncada Colindres
personlast · Jun 26
1
Palthy Alvarado
personlast · Jun 24
1
Julio Rocha
personlast · Jun 10
1
Lumberto Campbell Hooker
personlast · Jun 9
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Nicaragua will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.