GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
CountriesParaguay (PY)

Paraguay.

Republic of Paraguay · Asuncin · 7.6M people · south-america

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) and Guarani (official) 46.3%, only Guarani 34%, only Spanish 15.2%Area406.8K km²Sanctioned entities54Active conflicts0Mentions 7d5 ▲ 0%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
82.3
Moderate risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Paraguay becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Paraguay · 90-day event volume
32
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
CHINA PRESSUREPARAGUAY-TAIWA2026-02-152026-04-012026-05-15
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 5 milestones · hover for context
MAY 12
2026
Paraguay President Visits PH
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 11
2026
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 10
2026
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 9
2026
Paraguay Economy
economic_indicator · severity 3
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
95/100 · 15% wt
target events: 2actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 0.40%article coverage 90d: 552
Arms Activity
87/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 4total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.25%inflation pct: 3.84%unemployment pct: 5.69%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 5negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
89/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 54is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
85/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 74literacy rate: 94.90%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
16Stable
Security
34Moderate
Economic
11Stable
Regulatory
11Stable
Operational
24Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South America
Rank 9 of 14
01Republic of Colombia
42.0
02Argentine Republic
47.0
03Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela
48.7
04Plurinational State of Bolivia
69.0
05Republic of Ecuador
70.1
06Federative Republic of Brazil
71.6
07Republic of Peru
76.3
08Republic of Chile
77.7
09Republic of Paraguay· this country
82.3
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$44.5B
$1.3B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$6.4K
$116 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.8%
0.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.7%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.9M
85.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.93%
0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
74.0 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
81.6%
3.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 0 conflicts · 4 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
32
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-12
SEV 2
Paraguay President Visits PH
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 6
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-11
SEV 2
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-10
SEV 6
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-09
SEV 3
Paraguay Economy
Economic Indicator
2026-05-08
SEV 4
Paraguay-Taiwan Solidarity
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-08
SEV 6
Paraguay-Taiwan ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-07
SEV 4
China Seeks to Persuade Paraguay
Diplomatic Tension
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Tato Aguilera confirmó un jugador borrado en Boca: «No va a retornar»

Tato Aguilera confirmed a player will be removed from Boca's lineup and will not return as a starter.

El IntransigenteParaguay
Geopolitical Economics
Corrientes amplía el Parque Industrial de Ituzaingó: es ley la expropiación de 700 hectáreas
Perfil
Geopolitical Economics
JIIA Strategic Comments (2026-13) The Economic Impacts of the Japan-MERCOSUR EPA - 公益財団法人日本国際問題研究所
JIIA Japan
International Relations
President Ilham Aliyev congratulates Paraguayan counterpart - Report.az
Report.az
Other
Mundial 2026: quiénes serán las megaestrellas que actuarán en el show de la final
La Gaceta On Line
Boca sonríe: ¿Cavani estará ante Cruzeiro?
Diario El Dia -
La millonaria cifra en dólares que recibirán River y Boca por ceder a sus figuras al Mundial 2026
La Gaceta On Line
Mundial 2026: los 14 jugadores del fútbol argentino que Alfaro preseleccionó para Paraguay
La Gaceta On Line
Encuesta en América Latina: Javier Milei entre los presidentes con peor imagen de la región
Perfil
El mapa del ajuste: Milei frena obra pública clave para el agro, Vaca Muerta y el comercio exterior
News
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Paraguay
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Geology is not destiny: Brazil must establish an infrastructure to exploit its critical minerals wealth
The United States prioritizes critical minerals from trading partners, signing eleven agreements in February across mineral-rich nations; Brazil, holding 95 percent of global niobium reserves and substantial rare earth deposits, lacks processing infrastructure to compete effectively against China's dominant refining capacity.
Apr 4, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Will U.S. Allies Succeed in Hedging Against the United States?
U.S. allies including Canada, Britain, and European nations are actively diversifying economic and security partnerships away from America through new trade deals and reduced weapons dependence, though success remains uncertain given the substantial challenges involved.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Paraguay-tagged articles · last 30 days
Adam Bareiro
personlast · May 15
457
Ángel Romero
personlast · May 14
55
Santiago Peña
personlast · May 15
34
Robert Morales
personlast · May 12
29
Didier Arias
personlast · May 1
29
Héctor Núñez
personlast · May 1
25
Derlis López
personlast · May 15
21
Santiago Pena
personlast · May 15
17
José Luis Herrera
personlast · May 8
16
Fernando López
personlast · May 15
13
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Paraguay will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.