GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesTimor-Leste (TL)

Timor-Leste.

Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste · Dili · 1.4M people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea14.9K km²Active conflicts2CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
84.2
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Timor-Leste becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Timor-Leste · 90-day event volume
20
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 2
SUMMIT MEETINGCHINA DEFENCE2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 177
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
65/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -9.10%inflation pct: 2.06%unemployment pct: 1.52%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
62/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 67.9literacy rate: 69.40%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
38Moderate
Security
0Stable
Economic
41Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 15 of 22
01Union of Burma
55.0
02People's Republic of China
57.1
03Taiwan
57.9
04Japan
58.8
05Democratic People's Republic of Korea
63.5
06Republic of Indonesia
64.5
07Republic of the Philippines
68.8
08Socialist Republic of Vietnam
68.8
15Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste· this country
84.2
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$1.9B
$214.2M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.3K
$170 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.1%
6.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
1.5%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
1.4M
16.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.66%
0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
67.9 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2023
34.0%
0.5% YoY
Security2 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
20
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-18
SEV 2
China Defence Minister Visits
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-02
SEV 1
20th Int. Human Rights Summit
Summit Meeting
Active conflicts involving Timor-Leste
US-China conflict
Cold War · 28395 dispatches
Critical · 100
Timor-Leste crisis
· 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Prabowo invites Nobel laureates to work with Indonesian researchers

Prabowo invites Nobel laureates to collaborate with Indonesian researchers to strengthen scientific talent.

ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia NewsIndonesia · Timor-Leste · Japan
International Relations
Timor-Leste president invites Indonesia's Prabowo for official visit
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
International Relations
Papua can drive closer Indonesia-Timor-Leste ties : Official
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
International Relations
Prabowo to host Timor-Leste president in Jakarta
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
International Relations
Megawati to meet Timor-Leste president, Nobel-Turing Award laureates
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
ASEAN Film Festival promotes cinematic diversity and fosters cultural exchange
South China Morning Post
Tuyển Việt Nam ghi bàn sân khách vượt trội so với sân nhà tại ASEAN Cup 2026
Tuoi Tre
Video: Hai bàn phản lưới của cầu thủ Thái Lan
Tuoi Tre
Việt Nam đăng quang ASEAN Cup 2026: Hành trình lịch sử đầy cảm xúc
Tuoi Tre
Khoảnh khắc nâng cúp vô địch ASEAN Cup 2026 của tuyển Việt Nam
Tuoi Tre
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Timor-Leste-tagged articles · last 30 days
Xanana Gusmão
personlast · Aug 24
26
José Ramos-Horta
personlast · Aug 24
21
Dylan Niski
personlast · Aug 22
2
Kupa Lopez
personlast · Aug 24
1
Claudio Osorio
personlast · Aug 23
1
Joao Rangel
personlast · Aug 23
1
Niski
personlast · Aug 23
1
Correia
personlast · Aug 23
1
Ribeiro
personlast · Aug 23
1
Sophal Dimong
personlast · Aug 22
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Timor-Leste will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.