GeoMemo
TUE, JUN 30 · EDT
CountriesTimor-Leste (TL)

Timor-Leste.

Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste · Dili · 1.4M people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea14.9K km²Active conflicts2Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
69.0
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Timor-Leste becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Timor-Leste · 90-day event volume
18
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 8
TIMOR-LESTE PMTIMOR-LESTE CRTIMOR-LESTE OF2026-04-022026-05-172026-06-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
JUN 28
2026
Timor-Leste Officials Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 1
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.90%article coverage 90d: 146
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
65/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -9.10%inflation pct: 2.06%unemployment pct: 1.52%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
62/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 67.9literacy rate: 69.40%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
38Moderate
Security
31Moderate
Economic
41Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
31Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 17 of 22
01Union of Burma
49.2
02Taiwan
53.7
03People's Republic of China
55.2
04Democratic People's Republic of Korea
59.4
05Japan
60.7
06Republic of Indonesia
63.4
07Republic of the Philippines
67.2
08Republic of Korea
67.3
17Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste· this country
84.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$1.9B
$214.2M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.3K
$170 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.1%
6.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
1.5%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
1.4M
16.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.66%
0.01% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
67.9 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2023
34.0%
0.5% YoY
Security8 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
18
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-06-28
SEV 1
Timor-Leste Officials Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-16
SEV 4
Timor-Leste Criticizes ASEAN
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-11
SEV 2
Global Leadership
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-10
SEV 2
Timor-Leste PM Visits Vietnam
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-09
SEV 1
Timor-Leste PM Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-07
SEV 2
Timor-Leste PM visits Vietnam
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-04
SEV 2
Timor-Leste PM visits Vietnam
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-03
SEV 2
PDIP Delegation Meets CNRT
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Timor-Leste
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26992 dispatches
Critical · 100
Timor-Leste crisis
· 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Korea-Timor-Leste Foreign Ministers Hold Talks: "Active Support for Timor-Leste's ASEAN Integration" - 아시아경제

Korean and Timor-Leste foreign ministers held talks to support Timor-Leste's ASEAN integration.

Asia EconomyNorth Korea · Timor-Leste
Geopolitical Economics
Bulog declares 200,000 tons of rice ready for export
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
International Relations
Fulan Fehan Festival deepens Indonesia's ties with neighbors: Minister
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
Other
She taught ballet, worked in insurance, now she's built a crime lab out of thin air
The Canberra Times - News
International Relations
Indonesia, FBI step up efforts to repatriate cultural artifacts
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
Russia – ASEAN Summit
Президент России
ASEAN, Russia promote broad-based economic cooperation
Vietnam+ (VietnamPlus)
Putin courts ASEAN as Russia pushes to deepen strategic, economic ties
The Vibes
The Russa-ASEAN Summit In Kazan: The Pivot To Asia Becomes A Structural Reality
russia's pivot to asia
Putin to host Asean leaders in first summit since Ukraine invasion
The Business Times
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Timor-Leste-tagged articles · last 30 days
Xanana Gusmão
personlast · Jun 19
21
Kay Rala Xanana Gusmão
personlast · Jun 10
16
José Ramos-Horta
personlast · Jun 19
14
Jose Ramos-Horta
personlast · Jun 16
7
Xanana Gusmao
personlast · Jun 4
7
Joao Pereira
personlast · Jun 8
4
Bendito dos Santos Freitas
personlast · Jun 7
3
Francisco Kalbuadi Lay
personlast · Jun 4
3
Ramos-Horta
personlast · Jun 17
2
João Pereira
personlast · Jun 9
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Timor-Leste will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.