GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
GeoMemo Reports · Daily Brief Catalog

Every brief, indexed.

Country daily briefs, conflict daily briefs, and operational-risk assessments — auto-generated and refreshed every morning. Every row links into the full brief at its canonical surface.

455Total briefs
147Country
301Conflict
7Op Risk
Showing 1–30 of 455
NewestOldest
May 12, 2026Country Daily
EG — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Egypt faces critical multidomain instability with high confidence. Foreign military incursions (UK/France at Port Said, Israel in Gaza/Sinai), currency devaluation, refugee pressure, and w...
EgyptAfrica37 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Country Daily
LY — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Libya remains in critical instability with cascading state failure across security, energy, and humanitarian domains. Armed group fragmentation near critical oil infrastructure, foreign mi...
LibyaAfrica25 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Country Daily
SS — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line South Sudan faces critical state fragility with high confidence. Escalating airstrikes, humanitarian collapse, and active sanctioned military commanders indicate conflict intensification r...
South SudanAfrica25 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Country Daily
NG — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Nigeria faces critical instability (score: 43.2) driven by concurrent terrorist, ethnic militia, and military operational pressures across northern and central regions. High-confidence ass...
NigeriaAfrica41 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Country Daily
SD — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Sudan faces imminent state collapse with high confidence. Active civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has killed tens of thousands, displaced millions, and ...
SudanAfrica42 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Nigerian conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with high confidence that Nigeria's multi-front insurgency has reached a critical intensity, with at least 250+ killed across airstrikes, military operations, and bandit attacks ...
Global20 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Myanmar crisis — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that Myanmar's civil war remains at maximum escalation (100/100), compounded by a recent severe earthquake and the junta's continued diplomatic isolation...
Global9 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
US-Islamic State conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that the US-Iran conflict has reached a critical inflection point: the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to commercial shipping, a ceasefire is near collap...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
La Pampa-Mendoza water dispute — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that the La Pampa–Mendoza water dispute remains at an elevated escalation level, but the evidence pack contains no direct reporting on the conflict in the las...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Mideast conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with high confidence that the US-Israeli war with Iran has entered a critical maritime-economic phase centered on the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively closed. Iraq is ...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Papua conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that the Papua conflict has reached a critical escalation threshold, with at least 20 killed in recent violence including the targeted killing of two pil...
Global20 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Internal conflict in Argentina — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that there is no substantive evidence in the current evidence pack of an internal conflict in Argentina involving the United States at any escalation level, l...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Afghanistan conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that the Afghanistan conflict has shifted from a traditional civil war to a Taliban-Pakistan interstate confrontation that is deepening Afghanistan's hum...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Old MAGA vs New MAGA conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that the evidence pack contains no direct reporting on an intra-MAGA factional conflict ("Old MAGA vs New MAGA") at any escalation level, let alone the assign...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Conflict Daily
Yemen civil war — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with high confidence that the Yemen conflict has merged with the broader Iran-Israel-US regional war, driving the escalation score to its maximum (100/100). Houthi forces are act...
Global10 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Operational Risk
Republic of Kenya · 90-Day Operational Risk
Escalating Nile Basin hydro-political tensions amid Ethiopia's multi-dam expansion threatening Kenya-Egypt water security alliance
KenyaAfrica80 sources
Read brief →May 12, 2026Operational Risk
Arab Republic of Egypt · 90-Day Operational Risk
Nile water security escalation: Ethiopia dam construction accelerates, Egypt mobilizes military or diplomatic intervention
EgyptAfrica80 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Country Daily
EG — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Egypt faces critical systemic instability driven by converging regional conflicts, resource scarcity, and currency pressure. High confidence: the state is simultaneously escalating militar...
EgyptAfrica35 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Country Daily
LY — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Libya faces critical instability with high confidence. Concurrent armed conflict near critical oil infrastructure, foreign military intervention, and sanctioned militant networks operating...
LibyaAfrica24 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Country Daily
SS — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line South Sudan faces critical state fragility with converging security, humanitarian, and economic collapse. Escalating airstrikes on civilian infrastructure, active conflict across Jonglei S...
South SudanAfrica24 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Country Daily
NG — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Nigeria faces critical instability driven by converging security, economic, and humanitarian crises. Confidence: HIGH. Multi-front conflict escalation (ethnic militias, Boko Haram, cross-b...
NigeriaAfrica39 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Country Daily
SD — Daily Risk Brief
Bottom Line Sudan faces imminent state collapse with high confidence. Active civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has killed tens of thousands, displaced millions, and ...
SudanAfrica41 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
Medio Oriente conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with high confidence that the Middle East conflict has entered a critical diplomatic impasse: President Trump's rejection of Iran's response to a ceasefire proposal on or around ...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
Internal conflict in Argentina — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that there is no verifiable evidence in the current evidence pack of an internal conflict in Argentina involving the United States. The escalation score of 10...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
La Pampa-Mendoza water dispute — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that the La Pampa–Mendoza water dispute remains at elevated tension (escalation score 100/100), but the evidence pack contains no direct reporting on the inte...
Global20 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
US-Islamic State conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that the US-Islamic State conflict has been overtaken as the primary US military concern in the Middle East by a broader US-Iran war, with the Strait of ...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
Ethiopian conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that Ethiopia's internal conflict remains at critical intensity, with ethnic and political violence driving large-scale displacement and regional spillov...
Global3 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
Iran tensions — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with high confidence that the US-Iran confrontation has reached a critical diplomatic impasse following President Trump's rejection of Iran's response to a ceasefire proposal on ...
Global0 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
Mideast conflict — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with moderate confidence that Iraq's conflict posture has reached a critical economic-security inflection point: a de facto Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is forcing Ir...
Global12 sources
Read brief →May 11, 2026Conflict Daily
South Africa gang violence — Daily Brief
Bottom Line We assess with low confidence that the evidence pack contains no verified reporting on South African gang violence, inter-belligerent clashes among ZA/GH/NG actors, or any civil-war-type e...
Global0 sources
Read brief →
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